Tuesday, 18 September 2018

West League Predictor - 22nd September 2018

Our improved performance last weekend might suddenly disappear as a quick review of the fixture list shows most could go either way.  You might think we’re exaggerating, but wait till you see them.

West 1:
It’s 3rd v 1st at the Bearyards on Saturday.  Greenock have scored 154 points in their three games, and Glens 89.  Glens have conceded on point fewer.  Whoever wins this one, probably become early favourites for the league (though neither have played Annan yet).  Tough call, but will go with home advantage.

Annan v East Kilbride is another cracker - it’s 2nd v 5th, but if EK hadn’t lost out in the last minute on Saturday they would been on the same points as Annan.  Points for and against are similar.  Will go with home advantage again.

Cambuslang v Irvine - 6th v 4th - Two defeats for Cambus but that’s been to EK and Greenock.  Irvines only defeat was by 1 point.  Cambuslang have scored 86 points, Irvine 85 - it’s going to be another close one, so home advantage again.

Dalziel v Garnock - prior to the start of the season, we expected both Clubs to be competing at the sharp end the league, but they currently sit 9th & 7th, with only 1 win each.  They’ve both played Annan, with Garnock putting 24 past them compared to Dalziels 7 - on that basis, Garnock slight favourites.

Kilmarnock v Strathendrick - Kilmarnock have lost their three games so need to get a result or else the remainder of their season will be about avoiding relegation. Endrick were heavily beaten by Glens, and then lost last week to Annan, having led at half time.  Endrick got plenty of tries in them so go with an away win.

Stewartry v Cumnock - 12th v 10th.  Both have conceded 144 points, but Stewartry have scored just 19 compared to Cumnocks 70.  Both lost heavily to Greenock.  Away win.

West 2:
Bishopton v Clydebank - Cracking start to the season for Bishopton with three bonus point wins.  Clydebank have won 2 from 3, including coming from behind against free scoring Uddy last weekend.  It will be close, but with Bishopton scoring more and conceding fewer will go with a home win.

Cumbernauld v Loch Lomond - we watched this fixture last season, it was a horrible day; a cold, wet & windy January afternoon and the game didn’t brighten the gloom either as it ended up a nothing each draw.  Lomond have conceded 149 points, but that does include games against Lenzie, Bishopton and Uddy. In comparison, Cumbernauld have conceded only 49.  We’ll go with home advantage, but expect it to be tight again.

Lenzie v Paisley - Paisley are already 10 points behind Lenzie, so this is a must win for them.  They’ve both won away at Wigtownshire, which we don’t think many others will do. Lenzie have conceded only 21 points in three games.  Home win.

Millbrae v Helensburgh - neither team have a win in the league.  Helensburgh conceded 99 and Millbrae 120.  Millbrae were deducted three points last week as they couldn’t field a team.  Helensburgh probably favourites on these stats, but will go with Millbrae as they make the extra effort to get players out after last weekend.

Strathaven v Oban Lorne - 5th v 3rd - Oban unbeaten, whilst Strathaven have lost only to Clydebank (by two points).   Similar points against but Oban are scoring more, however it’s their third away game in a row - could this have an impact on player availability?  It’s going to be another close one, so we’re going with home advantage.

Uddingston v Wigtownshire - League position suggests this will be a comfortable home win, but Shire have run both Paisley and Strathaven close.  Awkward game for Uddy following their disappointment at Clydebank last week.  Home win.

West 3:
Birkmyre v Mull - 6th v 5th, with a win and a loss a piece.  Both have lost on their travels at Lochaber. It’s going to be another close one. Will go with home advantage.

PSG v Moffat - PSG have won one, whilst Moffat has lost three, though each have been against title challengers. Neither are scoring that many, so it has the makings of a tight one.  Go with home advantage.

Shawlands v Hyndland - 8th v 9th, with no wins between them.  Shawlands have scored only 12 points compared to Hyndlands 42 - probably not much between them. Away win.

Waysiders/Drumpellier v Lochaber - both unbeaten, and both scoring plenty whilst not conceding many. We’re going with a home win and WD to be top of the league come close of play on Saturday.

Last Weekends Predictor Result:

See also:
West League Predictor - 15th September 2018
West League Predictor - 8th September 2018

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