Thursday, 1 November 2018

Predictor Challenge Update - 3rd November 2018


Based on the Predictor Odds, there was only one real shock across the Tennents West Regional Leagues at the weekend, as a result we've seen an increase in the success %age from last weeks 69% to 72%.



Predicted win %
Draw Count
Dalziel 23.6% v 76.4% Stewartry 0.0% 55
East Kilbride 25.5% v 72.7% Greenock Wanderers 1.8% 55
Garnock 83.6% v 16.4% Cambuslang 0.0% 55
Irvine 65.5% v 34.5% Annan 0.0% 55
Kilmarnock 9.1% v 90.9% Allan Glens 0.0% 55
Strathendrick 74.5% v 25.5% Cumnock 0.0% 55
Clydebank 81.8% v 18.2% Wigtownshire 0.0% 55
Helensburgh 10.9% v 89.1% Lenzie 0.0% 55
Loch Lomond 32.7% v 65.5% Paisley 1.8% 55
Oban Lorne p v p Bishopton

Uddingston 87.3% v 10.9% Millbrae 1.8% 55
Glasgow Uni Medics 78.6% v 21.4% Birkmyre 0.0% 56
Hyndland 43.6% v 54.5% Lochaber 1.8% 55
Isle of Mull p v p Cowal

Shawlands 74.5% v 25.5% Police Scotland Glasgow 0.0% 55



In the weekly competition, it's a big thumbs up for GlensGirl and Alan Nugent who each scored an impressive 12 from the 13 games played, and we had a whole bunch of folk one more behind.

In the West 1 competition, there are five entrants who scored an even more impressive 6 from 6.

A quick mention for BigHam - the only one to call a draw in the EK v Greenock game.  Greenock scored a try with the last play of the game, to close the gap to two points, but the conversion from the 5 metre line drifted wide on the wind, so it was only a matter of inches (well probably feet) from an impressive start to your Predictor Challenge.

In the overall competition we have a change at the top of the leaderboard.  A disappointing week for Magoo sees him drop from first to third, with Keith Bradley swapping places having scored 11 from 13 this week.  Despite no entry this week, G remains in second.  Mark Ellison also scored an 11 from 13 which was gives a one place move to fourth.

The overall success rate from the start of the Challenge is at 66% (3,200 correct from 4,838 predictions).

We include a random set of results each week to give us a bit of perspective on our predicting skills - this week, the Random Predictor scored 10 from 13, so at 77% it was higher than this weeks combined average, whilst overall it's running at 55.7%.

We've had a total of 145 entries over the duration of the Challenge.  With about 19% of us averaging lower than the Random Predictor, it's probably advisable for these folks not to go to the bookies too often.




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