Friday, 3 March 2023

West Region Predictor Challenge - 4 March 2023

A strange set of results from the Predictor result this week.  The Index came away with 7 from 8 (WD upsetting the 100% result), but the average across the 48 entrants was only 65% - the largest difference between the Index and average all season.  


West Region Predictor Challenge

Predicted win %
Draw Count
East Kilbride 56.3% v 43.8% Kilmarnock 0.0% 48
Lochaber 34.8% v 65.2% Cumbernauld 0.0% 46
Ardrossan Accies 56.3% v 43.8% Cambuslang 0.0% 48
Strathaven 93.5% v 6.5% Glasgow Uni Medics 0.0% 46
Strathendrick p v p Irvine

Birkmyre 78.3% v 21.7% Lomond/ Helensburgh 0.0% 46
Lanarkdale 26.1% v 73.9% Shawlands 0.0% 46
Moffat 83.0% v 17.0% Isle of Mull 0.0% 47
Waysiders/ Drumpellier 17.4% v 82.6% Bishopton 0.0% 46

 Mens West Region Results - 4th March 2023

Across the season to date, the average difference between the Index score and the average weekly score is 10%, so a difference of 22% is exceptional.

We had two games that were close to 50:50, so this obviously had an impact on the average, but it's the WD win over Bishopton which caused the impact across the highest number of entrants - only 8 entrants going with WD.

In addition to the Index scoring 7 from 8, we had 6 entrants scoring 87.5%, with 14 entrants picking up 6 from 8.

West Region Predictor Challenge
Weekly Leaderboard
Birney 7 8 87.5%
Hooky 7 8 87.5%
Iain 7 8 87.5%
Jesus 7 8 87.5%
Josh M 7 8 87.5%
Mark E 7 8 87.5%

PNOdd Index 7 8 87.5%

After 17 weeks of the Predictor, we've had 213 entrants submitting 14539 Predictions across the game played, with a success rate of 70.8%.

Our leaderboard after 17 weeks has Murray1 setting the pace with a success rate of 84.1%.  Carl Bates is 1 correct result behind.

West Region Predictor Challenge
Top 10
Murray 1 180 214 84.1%
Carl Bates 179 214 83.6%
RT 175 214 81.8%
RM 66 81 81.5%
Jesus 172 214 80.4%
Wee man 172 214 80.4%
wrighty 171 214 79.9%
Craig1876 170 214 79.4%
JamieMcP 170 214 79.4%
Mark E 102 129 79.1%

PNOdd Index 172 214 80.4%

Not much change in the Top 10, though with 7 from 8 this week, Jesus jumps up to fifth and Mark E comes back into the Top 10.

Full 2022/23 Predictor Challenge scoresheet

For week 18 this weekend, we have 13 fixtures to consider.

 Submit your entry to this weeks Predictor Challenge

 

Previous Predictor Results


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