Wednesday, 1 February 2023

West Region Predictor Challenge - 4 February 2023

A tough set of fixtures for Week 14 of the Predictor, sees our lowest score of the season so far that also gives us a change at the top of the Leaderboard.

West Region Predictor Challenge

Predicted win %
Draw Count
Annan 3.2% v 96.8% Cumnock 0.0% 62
Ardrossan Accies 22.6% v 77.4% East Kilbride 0.0% 62
Lenzie 85.5% v 14.5% Cambuslang 0.0% 62
Stewartry 64.5% v 35.5% Garnock 0.0% 62
Irvine 26.2% v 72.1% Clydebank 1.6% 61
Oban Lorne 93.4% v 6.6% Wigtownshire 0.0% 61
Paisley 6.7% v 93.3% Uddingston 0.0% 60
Strathaven 65.0% v 33.3% Dalziel 1.7% 60
Strathendrick 68.3% v 31.7% Glasgow Uni Medics 0.0% 60
Birkmyre 91.7% v 8.3% Lochaber 0.0% 60
Bishopton 73.3% v 25.0% Cumbernauld 1.7% 60
Lanarkdale p v p Isle of Mull

Moffat 46.7% v 53.3% Hyndland 0.0% 60

West Region results - 4th February 2023


With an average return of 56.3%, this was our lowest score of the season.  The Index showed a score of 7 from 12, but the ones where the Index was incorrect weren't even marginal with each falling into the "shock" result territory.

For three of the five incorrect results, league positions would have had them close, but our entrants were strongly in favour of one or other.  In the top of the table clashes, Stewartry and Strathaven were both favoured by 65% of entrants and Bishopton at 73% - however the results went with their opponents.

The two others (both West 1 fixtures) definitely fall into the shock category when considering league position.  Cumnock are in the running for second spot and potential promotion play-off place, and were chosen by 97% of participants, but it was Annan who took the points with a 38 - 27 victory.

And then we have Ardrossan Accies who are battling relegation, who took the points against East Kilbride, despite EK being favoured by 75% of entrants.  This win moves Accies four point clear of Carrick, who they visit on Saturday.

Unsurprisingly, none of our entrants managed 100%, in fact the highest scorers could achieve only 9 from 12 with eight entrants sharing this accolade.  Interestingly, none of our previous Top 10 entrants managed even this score.  

West Region Predictor Challenge
4th February 2023
Bert 9 12 75.0%
Big les 9 12 75.0%
Jambo 9 12 75.0%
Sandy G1 9 12 75.0%
The Fresh Prince of Ravenscraig 9 12 75.0%
TheKLN 9 12 75.0%
Wallace 9 12 75.0%
Wee man 9 12 75.0%

PNOdd Index 7 12 58.3%


Murray1 becomes the new leader in the overall Challenge, moving 1 correct score ahead of Carl Bates.  Wallace joins the Top 10 Leaderboard, jumping straight into third place, having now met the criteria of 50 entries.  The PNOdd Index is just outside the Top 10 sitting at a success rate of 80.3%.

West Region Predictor Challenge
Top 10
Murray 1 156 183 85.25%
Carl Bates 155 183 84.70%
Wallace 42 51 82.35%
RT 150 183 81.97%
RM 66 81 81.48%
wrighty 149 183 81.42%
Skelf 72 89 80.90%
Craig1876 148 183 80.87%
JamieMcP 148 183 80.87%
Jesus 148 183 80.87%

PNOdd Index 147 183 80.33%


Over the 14 weeks of the Challenge so far this season, we've had 203 entrants submitting 12,788 entries from the games played, with 9,123 correct (an average of 71.3%).  

Full 2022/23 Predictor Challenge results


At 56.3%, week 14s results are obviously well down, so we'll be looking to get back on track this weekend, but with several interesting fixtures, things may be more than a little "Challenging".

In the Bowl, it's Cumbernauld v Birkmyre (2nd v 3rd) and Hyndland v Lochaber (5th v 6th) - all are going well in the league with sights on promotion, so these should be tight.  

In West 1, we have Carrick hosting Ardrossan Accies in a 10th v 9th clash - there's only four points between them, so this is a massive game.  

In West 2, Uddingston (4th place) host Oban Lorne (2nd place) and Wigtownshire (5th place) hosting Strathaven (3rd place) - each of these teams are in with a shout for promotion, so the games will be keenly contested.

Submit your entry to the 18th February Predictor Challenge 

 



Previous Predictor Results

 

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