Predictor Challenge Update - 26th January 2019

The weather had an impact on the number of games again in last weeks Predictor Challenge with four being lost.  The Cumbernauld v Lenzie game was also lost, but this was down to a referee injury which meant the game was abandoned, and with it finishing before the 60 minute mark, the result did not stand.

	Predicted win %				Draw	Count
Annan	6.4%	v	93.6%	Allan Glens	0.0%	47
Dalziel	61.7%	v	38.3%	Cambuslang	0.0%	47
East Kilbride	87.2%	v	10.6%	Irvine	2.1%	47
Garnock	97.9%	v	2.1%	Cumnock	0.0%	47
Kilmarnock	70.8%	v	25.0%	Stewartry	4.2%	48
Strathendrick	p	v	p	Greenock Wanderers
Bishopton	17.8%	v	82.2%	Uddingston	0.0%	45
Clydebank	28.9%	v	71.1%	Oban Lorne	0.0%	45
Cumbernauld	a	v	a	Lenzie
Helensburgh	p	v	p	Strathaven
Loch Lomond	p	v	p	Wigtownshire
Millbrae	17.8%	v	77.8%	Paisley	4.4%	45
Glasgow Uni Medics	93.3%	v	6.7%	Lochaber	0.0%	45
Hyndland	84.4%	v	13.3%	Moffat	2.2%	45
Shawlands	p	v	p	Waysiders/Drumpellier

 

The pattern of our Predictor Odds pretty much reflects the results in the surviving games, so no reals surprises in this set of results, but some of the games were closer than the odds suggested.  Annan v Allan Glens and Millbrae v Paisley both falling into this category.



The lack of surprises means we have a healthy 378 correct predictions out of the 461 submitted across the games played (82%), with five entrants scoring 10 out of 10 - four of whom were already on the top 10 Leaderboard.


We have a change at the top of the Leaderboard, as Sting moves to pole position with 78.8%, jumping ahead Gordon Milne.

Across January we have some pretty impressive averages, with both Gordon Milne and Willie Steele scoring 43 out of 52 (82.7%), so a couple of WeegieRugby hats to be put in the post for you guys.


When we started the Predictor Challenge in September it was a bit of a laugh for a few of us, but things have quickly developed.  Across the season, we've had 239 people submitting entries, with around 50 each week and a solid base of regulars.

We've therefore decided to put up a prize for the person who wins the overall competition come the end of the season.  We've picked up a couple of tickets for the Pro 14 Final (ok, they're cheap seats, but hey, we're doing this on a tight budget).

As a result, we're going to tighten up the conditions for a place on the Top 10 leaderboard.

From February, the minimum number of entries for qualification for a place on the leaderboard will be 50 (which the current leaderboard all meet).  From March we will increase this to 65, which equates to four weeks worth of predictions.

We've also had a couple of entrants choosing individual games, which has raised a point for us.  Whilst these entrants look like they're selecting their own Club game, we can see a potential for a gaming of our system, so to be eligible for the top 10 leaderboard, we'll require predictions for all games within a specific league each week.  We'll still count individual match entries on a weekly basis, but we won't carry those results forward to the monthly or top 10 leaderboard.

See also:

Predictor Challenge Update - 19th January 2019
Predictor Challenge Update - 12th January 2019
Predictor Challenge Update - 5th January 2019
Predictor Challenge Update - 15th December 2018