Thursday 6 December 2018

Predictor Update - 8th December 2018

Despite a couple of surprise results at the weekend, the Predictor Challenge shows an average success rate of 70%, well up on last week and also an increase on the overall 66% success rate.


Predicted win %
Draw Count
Glasgow Uni Medics 89.7% v 10.3% Birkmyre 0.0% 39
Dalziel 5.1% v 94.9% Greenock Wanderers 0.0% 39
Cumnock 20.5% v 79.5% Stewartry 0.0% 39
East Kilbride 94.9% v 5.1% Annan 0.0% 39
Irvine 84.6% v 12.8% Cambuslang 2.6% 39
Strathendrick 66.7% v 33.3% Kilmarnock 0.0% 39
Clydebank 71.1% v 28.9% Bishopton 0.0% 38
Helensburgh p v p Millbrae

Oban Lorne 86.8% v 13.2% Strathaven 0.0% 38
Paisley p v p Lenzie

Wigtownshire 52.8% v 47.2% Uddingston 0.0% 36
Hyndland 51.4% v 48.6% Shawlands 0.0% 37
Isle of Mull p v p Cowal

Lochaber 27.0% v 73.0% Waysiders / Drumpellier 0.0% 37
Moffat p v p Police Scotland - Glasgow



Before we get started, a quick update on last week.  We had Keith Bradley down as one of the top scorers, but a wee error means we listed SpecialKs entry as Keiths.  Keith still scored scored 7 from 10, but SpecialK should have been noted as joint top scorer with 8 from 10.

In this weeks Challenge, the big surprise came in West 2 when 3rd placed Oban Lorne lost at home to Strathaven.  Nearly 87% of us opted for Oban so this result alone makes a dent in the result for many of us.

Top of this weeks table is John Carson who scores 83% with five from the six selected, whilst we have 11 entrants scoring 82% (9 from 11).

This weeks average was 70%, with 294 correct results from 420 entries.  If all the games had been played, the result could have been quite different as entrants on a couple of these games were reasonably split.

Last week our Random entry was one of the top scorers, but this week it was one of the lowest scorers with only five from 11.

We've tweaked the entry requirements for the top 10 leaderboard, with a minimum umber of entries required increased to 30, which means that Tobin and G drop out of running.

Keith Bradley stays at the top of the leaderboard, but with a slightly lower average, falling to 78.6%.  Magoo moves into second (also with a lower average) whilst Jesus moves up to third, improving their average to 76.3%.  Both Keith and Jesus have submitted 131 entries and there's only 3 correct scores between them, so pretty tight.


The Predictor Challenge has been running for 14 weeks now, and over this time we have had 187 entrants submitting 6,846 entries with 4,527 correct entries (a 66% success rate).

See also:

Predictor Challenge Update - 1st December 2018
Predictor Challenge Update - 24th November 2018
Predictor Challenge Update - 17th November 2018
Predictor Challenge Update - 10th November 2018
Predictor Challenge Update - 3rd November 2018
Predictor Challenge Update - 27th October 2018

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